BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Virginia St
Class: 2 Class Rank: 92 Overall: (6-4) Overall Strength = 97.73
Conference: Central Intercollegiate Athletic Association Record: (5-3) | District: 2-01 Record: (6-3)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/28/2025 Away W * 109.92 35 7 2 142 ( 3- 8) Barton 12.20 11.26 15.80
2 09/06/2025 Away L 103.95 31 34 1B 114 ( 1-11) Norfolk St 6.22 18.02 -9.22
3 09/20/2025 Away W * * 100.56 34 33 2 94 ( 4- 6) Winston-Salem St 2.83 2.69 -1.83
4 09/27/2025 Away L * * 91.15 14 34 2 42 ( 6- 4) Fayetteville St -6.57 0.14 -13.43
5 10/04/2025 Home L * * 100.21 20 31 2 44 (10- 2) Johnson C. Smith 2.48 -6.00 -13.48
6 10/11/2025 Away W * * 98.96 28 21 2 122 ( 3- 7) Bowie St 1.24 7.53 5.76
7 10/18/2025 Home W * * 96.75 24 20 2 105 ( 4- 6) Elizabeth City St -0.98 14.33 4.98
8 10/25/2025 Home W * * 83.85 51 34 2 155 ( 3- 7) Bluefield St WV -13.87 26.63 30.87
9 11/01/2025 Home W * * 88.68 35 14 2 158 ( 0-10) Lincoln PA -9.04 41.35 30.04
10 11/08/2025 Away L * * 103.22 3 14 2 49 ( 9- 3) Virginia Union 5.50 -15.48 -16.50
Averages 97.73 27.5 24.2
Best game: 109.92 = 28 point win over Barton
Worst game: 83.85 = 17 point win over Bluefield St WV
Team stdev: 7.83